It's DejaVu All Over Again

They call him Shoelaces up in Ann Arbor. His game is shifty and sleek and if you listen to those who root for the maize and blue, Denard Robinson is the epitome of all things good in college football.

In two games as a starter for the University of Michigan this year, Robinson has thrown for 430 yards and 2 touchdowns while racking up a whopping 455 yards and 3 scores on the ground. His performance thus far has even drawn the praise of former Rich Rodriguez quarterback Pat White who has called Robinson a “Beast.”

Shoelaces is single-handedly resurrecting the Wolverine tradition and proving Rich Rod to be the genius he was hired to be. The more this young signal caller improves his quarterback rating, the more his legend and fan t-shirt tributes will grow.

Believe it or not, Robinson’s emergence as a star also coincides perfectly with Michigan’s return to the Top 25. A feat made even more impressive considering it was done in serendipitous fashion by beating Notre Dame in South Bend on national television.

Now, before we assume this story has the fairy-tale ending that sees everyone yelling “Go Blue” in Pasadena, let’ read the rest of this story, for some reason it sounds very  familiar.

There you go, if you look closer at the writing on the page, you’ll notice every time this story mentions Robinson, you see another name that has been scribbled out. The reason this story sounds so familiar is because it’s the exact same tale we watched unfold with former Wolverine golden boy, Tate Forcier.

In consecutive years, Michigan has opened the season with the same question marks surrounding the team and its coach. They have a new starting QB that is supposed to be a prototypical fit in the Rich Rod offense. Rodriguez is again mired in turmoil and his system has yet to stick with his players.

They opened the season at home with a very winnable game against an inferior opponent. For the second straight year, a win against the Fighting Irish all but guaranteed the U of M a spot in the AP rankings. Feel free to stop me if this is beginning to sound like a replay of last season.

Now, sitting at number 20 in the nation, Shoelaces will rack up another 1,000 all purpose yards while smacking around UMass and Bowling Green. Then, in his most impressive game of the year, Robinson will lead Michigan to a victory against the Big Ten’s perennial bottom feeder, Indiana.

By the time Michigan State rolls around, Robinson will have the Wolverines undefeated and pushing for a spot in the Top 10. But again, this is almost exactly what happened last year with Forcier under center.

This story is not intended to be a declaration that the Wolverines will finish the season below .500 and miss a bowl game for the third straight year but it’s also important to recognize the underlying factors in Robinson’s performance.

Credit is due to Michigan for beating UConn and Notre Dame and starting the season 2-0, but wins over these two programs is hardly something to boast. UConn is the third best team in a conference that has failed to achieve a single marquee win this season, unless you consider Syracuse beating Akron a big win.

As for Notre Dame, they may finally have a coach that will lead them back to respectability in a few years, but it’s a team that is both rebuilding and learning a new scheme that is hardly known for its defensive stoutness. Not to mention they are breaking in two new safeties, a new quarterback and three new starters on the offensive line.

It is also true that Robinson has been much more effective than Forcier in his ability to run the ball, but Robinson is also averaging 20 more rushing attempts per game compared to his predecessor. This may be due to the loss of Brandon Minor and the Wolverines inability to find a suitable number one back, but the reason Robinson is putting up the statistics two people would is because he’s performing the roles of two players each game.

This may be a fine strategy for the Wolverines to employ at the start of the season, but what happens when they get into the heart of the conference schedule. Five of the final seven teams Michigan faces this year will be in contention for a New Year’s Day bowl game and will bring a little more defensive ferocity than the Colonial Athletic Association can provide.

Robinson may prove me wrong and go on to be the second Rich Rod quarterback to fail miserably in the NFL, but without a few compliments in the offense to limit the hits Robinson has to take each game, one has to imagine his durability may become an issue. After all, isn’t that what happened with Tate Forcier last year?

Twas the Week of Kickoff 2010

Twas the first week of the NFL season,
 and fans throughout the league,

Are eagerly awaiting kickoff,
 while girlfriends force them to watch reruns of Glee;

We’ll spend Thursday night in NOLa,
where the Saints will hoist the crown,

And plan to make the Vikes,
 find an ambulance to carry ole’ man Favre out of town;

On Sunday we’ll be in Chicago,
where Lovie’s at risk of being fired,

Facing a Lions team that has a 20 game road losing streak,
they want to see expired;

In upstate New York,
the Bills will host the Dolphins,

Just a few days after the Big Tuna
decided he’d rather be golfin’;

Jason Campbell will be under center
 when the Raiders invade Tennessee,

Where V.Y. hopes to get the Heisman
they’re going to take from Reggie;

The Panthers play the Giants
 in a game the G-Men really need to win,

Because losing at New Meadowlands Stadium
 will be a 1.6 billion dollar sin;

Batman and Robin head to New England
 where the Pats want a freshly inked QB,

An extension that has Randy Moss crying,
when are you going to resign me?

The Falcons get their running game back
 with the return of Michael Turner,

Against the Steelers Dennis Dixon
 whose filling in for a suspended Roethlisberger;

The Broncos meet the Jaguars,
each team hoping to settle a score,

Over which of these two pretenders
wasted their first round draft pick more;

Cleveland and Tampa are in Florida
 squaring off at the New Sombrero,

To see which team has the advantage
 of paying a first round draft pick more dinero;

Houston’s secondary is suspect
and Peyton Manning should have a field day,

Even better for the Texans,
this is the only game Bob Sanders is guaranteed to play;

Arizona travels to St. Louis
 for the weekend’s first afternoon game,

Both teams wish they still had Kurt Warner,
who’s waiting on the hall of fame;

Aaron Rodgers and the Packers
 are in Philly for a fight,

Where Eagle fans are liquored up,
enjoying Adios to McNabb Night

Donovan’s now in Washington,
he’s Mike Shanahan’s new toy,

While all of Texas is shouting
“How Bout Them Cowboys;”

Pete Carroll’s coaching in Seattle;
 he left L.A. to get out of dodge,

And for some reason Mike Singletary
 is mooning co-eds on the USF quad;

The Chargers play the Chiefs
 in a divisional showdown on ESPN,
While Baltimore tries to wreck the party
 when they pay a visit to the Jets new den;

Rex Ryan doesn’t seemed to worried
now that Revis Island is back in sight,

Which leaves all football fans screaming,
THANK GOD IT’S MONDAY NIGHT.

Welcome to BIG TENish Country

After months of speculation the Big Ten has officially given us our first glimpse of what the new conference will look like.  Upon initial review there's nothing to be upset about despite how much the Michigan Wolverines fan base may moan and groan.

The conference will be separated into two six team divisions that break down like so:

          Division 1: Michigan, Nebraska, Iowa,
          Michigan State, Northwestern and Minnesota

          Division 2: Ohio State, Penn State, Wisconsin,
          Purdue, Indiana and Illinois

Alot of the worry around how the Big Ten decided to align itself into divisions was based on how much tradition the conference lost.  Unfortunately, there was no way to guarantee that all of the rivalries would be preserved. Under the circumstances though, the Big Ten did a stand up job. If you look at a list of the conferences rivalry games, listed below, you can't help but realize how well the conference did in keeping tradition alive.

          Illinois vs. Northwestern for the Land of Lincoln Trophy
          Illinois vs. Ohio State for the Illibuck
          Illinois vs. Purdue for the Purdue Cannon
          Indiana vs. Purdue for the Old Oaken Bucket
          Indiana vs. Michigan State for the Old Brass Spittoon
          Iowa vs. Minnesota for the Floyd of Rosedale
          Iowa vs. Wisconsin for the Heartland Trophy
          Michigan vs. Michigan State for the Paul Bunyan Trophy
          Michigan vs. Minnesota for the Little Brown Jug
          Michigan vs. Ohio State, no trophy
          Michigan State vs. Penn State for the Land Grant Trophy
          Minnesota vs. Wisconsin for the Paul Bunyan's Axe
          Ohio State vs. Penn State, no trophy

Of the 13 longstanding rivalries the Big Ten enjoys every year, 7 are preserved by the yearly divisional match-ups.  The Big Ten has taken another step to ensure 4 more rivalries by pairing each conference member with a parnter from the other division to form a guaranteed match-up every year. Those match-up's are as followed:

          Michigan vs. Ohio State, Illinois vs. Northwestern,
          Purdue vs. Iowa, Michigan State vs. Indiana,
          Penn State vs. Nebraska, Wisconsin vs. Minnesota

This means that only two standing rivalries are not guaranteed to happen every year, Michigan St. vs Penn St. and Iowa vs. Wisconsin.  Although attribution can not be provided as to why these match-ups were chosen as the sacrificial lambs, it doesn't take an expert to realize that tradition is the answer. 

We'll begin with Iowa vs. Wisconsin.  This has only been an official trophied rivalry since 2004, easily the least historically significant official rivalry.  After Iowa vs. Wisconsin, the two least historically significant rivalries are Penn St. vs. Ohio St. and Penn St. vs. Michigan St.  The more marketable match-up with the Buckeyes is preserved by way of realignment which leaves Penn St. match-up against the Spartans on the chopping block.

What this realignment also does is create a few new rivalries as well.   Nebraska vs. Michigan and Iowa instantly becomes a very marketable rivalry while the Huskers cross division game against Penn St. allows for a very marketable rivalry as well.  So by my count the Big Ten sacrificed two of its shortest tenured match-ups in favor of three instantly marketable games the conference can build on.

The most important detail to remember here is the importance of the Big Ten Championship game in the overall scheme of things.  The conference's cash cow has always been U of M vs. OSU and splitting the two teams into different divisions creates the possibility that fans might be able to see this game twice a year.  This also gives the Wolverines a second chance at winning the Big Ten despite constantly losing to the Buckeyes year in and year out.  At the end of the day, the Big Ten made itself stronger by doing what many considered unthinkable in separating the Wolverine's and Buckeye's.

Back To The Heisman

One of the best things about the start of football season is the sudden influx of football talk.  Television networks everywhere begin to roll out their coverage and a solid chunk of sports fandom breathes a collective sigh of relief.  At the Bleachers, there's no ill-will towards Major League Baseball or the Premier League, who dominate the second half of the summer, but they don't call the months prior to football training camps the dry season for nothing.

With college football stepping up to the starters block, analysts everywhere are giving you their impressions on which schools have the best shot at being crowned national champions, what schools are flying under the radar and who are the frontrunners for the Heisman trophy.  We're no different, so, without further ado, Heisman Finalist predictions I'm 86% sure you can take to the bank.

Let's begin with the incumbent, Mark Ingram.  The Alabama running back rushed for 1,658 yards, 4th highest total in the nation, and 17 touchdowns as a sophomore in the best conference in college football.  Ingram was also challenged with the unenviable task of being the go to option for an offense that had to break in a new Quarterback and Left Tackle.  Despite this, the greater the challenge Ingram faced the better he performed racking up 941 yards and 8 touchdowns in 6 games against Top 25 opponents.

What Ingram doesn't have on his side is history, there has only been one two time winner of the Heisman Trophy.  If the Flint, MI native recovers fully from his arthroscopic knee surgery and sees production comprable to his totals from a year ago, solid showings against Penn St., LSU, Auburn, Florida and Arkansas should be enough to garner him his second consecutive invite to New York.

We head up north to the land of cheese for our second finalist.  Wisconsin running back John Clay has rushed for 2,401 yards and scored 27 touchdowns in his two seasons at Camp Randall.  He also has the privilege of running behind what could be arguably the best offensive line in the country.  The Big 10 is full of talent on the defensive line this year, but the Badgers big uglies up front will pave the way to a very successful year for Clay. 

His biggest weapon in pursuit of a Heisman invite will be LT Gabe Carimi.  Carimi could be the first tackle selected in the 2011 NFL Draft and will neutralize the three biggest obstacles Clay has to face; OSU's Cameron Heyward, Iowa's Adrian Clayborn and Purdue's Paul Kerrigan.  Senior Guard John Moffit should also help get an extra push up the middle against OSU's Dexter Larimore and MSU's Greg Jones.  

Oregon's LaMichael James represents the third and final running back invited to the Heisman ceremony.  After a freshman season that saw James run for 1,546 yards and 14 touchdowns amidst controvesry, the sophomore is primed to be one of college footballs most electrifying athletes in 2010.

Oregon head coach Chip Kelly is also entering his second year in Eugene and knows exactly what his one man highlight reel is capable of.  Kelly will utilize James at nearly every position on the field to maximize his touches and create offensive mismatches.  Combine this with a schedule that features only one respectable defensive match-up in Tennessee, a school learning a new scheme, and it doesn't take much to envision a very big year for the Ducks number one threat.

This Heisman list would be incomplete without a few quarterbacks mixed into the fold, the first of which is Boise State's Kellen Moore.  In two years as a starter for the Broncos, Moore has amassed over 7,000 yards passing while throwing for 64 touchdowns.  He also dropped his interception total from 10 in '08 to only 3 last year in Boise's high octane offense.

Most importantly, BSU is 16-1 with Moore under center.   The only collegiate loss of his career came against fellow mid-major powerhouse TCU in the 2008 San Diego Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl, a loss that was avenged a year later in the 2010 Tostitos Fiesta Bowl.  Should the junior continue his progression as a player; 4,000 yards, 40 touchdowns and another undefeated season (including a possible BCS championship birth) should be more than enough to merit Heisman consideration.

Washington's Jake Locker is the last invite to the Bleachers Heisman party.  Locker has only served two full seasons as the Huskies starting quarterback but the improvement between his freshman and junior year was impressive.  His passing yards, completion percentage, touchdowns and passer rating all took major leaps from where they were in 2007.

With another year under Steve Sarkisian, a 3,000 yard 30 touchdown season is within Locker's grasp.  Those stats should be enough to garner an invite considering this years weak quarterback class.  Locker's challenge is whether or not the Senior can do enough to make the Huskies a contender in the Pac10.  At the end of the day Locker is simply an NFL caliber arm on a bad team.  If he has any hope of winning this years Heisman, he'll need to turn a 6-6 team into a New Year's bowl contender.

Although these are the five names the Bleachers are staking its reputation on this fall, one slight concession needs to be allowed, a couple of replacement picks in case of injury.  Should Moore or Locker find themselves missing significant time due to injury, don't be surprised if Florida's John Brantley fills their shoes.

The Gators are again ranked in the Top 5 of the AP pre-season poll despite losing nearly half of it's starters from a year ago.  Brantley should have a smooth transition and prove that his predecessor, a magnetic player to say the least, was a product of Urban Meyer and a consistently amazing Florida recruiting class year after year.

Should any of the running backs find themselves hurt I offer up a replacement that some may consider slightly out of left field.  Last years Heisman race featured an all-world Defensive Tackle out of Nebraska, don't be too shocked if the voters try to find another fashionable nominee from the defensive side of the ball.  If that player exists, it's North Carolina's Robert Quinn. 

This Defensive End is an absolute monster that can not be stopped playing man to man.  The problem, however, is you can't double team him either.  UNC features a "pick your own poison" defense that can beat you from anywhere on the field.  You can't run up the middle with Marvin Austin clogging up the lanes, Quan Sturdivant can be lined up at Line Backer opposite of Quinn to create another defensive mismatch and you can't count on throwing the ball against a Tar Heel secondary that features four NFL caliber players.  As long as this UNC eligibility fiasco blows over realitvely quickly, Quinn could sack himself an invite to the Heisman Ceremony.